January Commodity Outlook

The climax of the second season started mid-January. The variation in the rainfall distribution countrywide corresponded with the production levels in the usual production locations where surplus crop production was reported in areas that received above to normal rainfall and less yield in areas that registered reduced volumes of rain especially in eastern Uganda. Less maize yield was realized in the eastern region especially Busoga where farmers substituted maize for sugarcane due to the input support such as fertilizer and seed and the current sugarcane market price influence. The sugarcane demand from several factories countrywide has also facilitated the shift.…

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Uganda Commodity Market Insight.

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November Commodity Price Outlook

High grain market prices were recorded during the month of November in several district markets countrywide. The climax of the off-season period marking the end of the first season was reported at the opening of this month. Some maize production locations commenced their harvest leading to two maize grain offer prices in major markets during November. In Kampala’s grain market, old stock maize grain was purchased at Ugx.1500/kg at wholesale while the newly harvested maize was offered at a lower price of Ugx.1250/kg. The grain market price fluctuated especially at the close of the month due to hoarding grain with…

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Karamoja September Commodity Price Outlook.

Increased supply of the seasonal crops was registered in most markets especially in southern Karamoja where better yields were registered compared to the northern Karamoja. Several transit traders were seen in the region ferrying sorghum and maize due to the abundant supply currently held by the farming community. Stockiests were also reported collecting grain that was recently harvested. Prices in Amudat district were recorded low due to a seasonal harvest going on. Maize was reported during the month of September at less than Ugx.1800-2000/can weighing 3.5kgs. A better maize yield was received compared to last year’s season. Less demand for…

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September Commodity Price Outlook.

The month of September opened with very low volumes of maize grain delivery to Kenya via the border post market at Busia. Plenty of maize was available in Kenya and Tanzania at a lower market price than the Ugandan grain. Good quality maize was offered at Ugx.855/kg (Ksh.29.5) while fair quality at Ugx.841/kg (Ksh.29).The least acceptable maize grain at Busia was offered at Ugx.826/kg (Ks.28.5).Less than 100Mt of sorted grain was traded daily at the border market. An estimated 200Mt of maize grain was reversely received at the same market from Kenya. During the 2nd week of September, the volume…

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ESA Maize Market brief.

Prices in surplus producing countries have converged in August 2024: Uganda and Tanzania prices close to US$210/Mt and South Africa’s maize price at US$226/Mt. Prices in southwest Tanzania, which is the maize producing region in Tanzania, have increased by 19% from US$178/Mt in July to US$212/Mt. In August 2024, the same prices recorded in June 2024. As a result, maize. Although its maize deficit is expected to double, Zambia’s maize prices slightly decreased by 13% from US$320/Mt in July to US$280/Mt in August 2024, reflecting prices in southwest Tanzania plus the cost of transportation from southwest Tanzania to Lusaka. We…

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August Commodity Outlook

Slow trading was reported at the regional border trade hub of Busia in the opening week of August. There was very low demand for maize grain at the border post market as Kenya continues to harvest some maize in the western region around Kitale which apparently coincides with the Ugandan harvest in Kapchorwa. This supply could continue reaching the market until end of September. Only less than 50Mt of grain was reported crossing daily from the produce market to Kenya formally and an equivalent 50Mt estimated daily via trade routes through the porous border. Good quality maize was offered at…

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Karamoja August Commodity Price Outlook

High livestock prices were noted during the month of August. Some district animal markets registered very low livestock trading while some districts reported internal purchasing of animals for restocking. Harvesting season ticked off during August with some production locations like Kaabong registering poor yields. Harvesting was reported in Amudat for the major staple such as maize. The market price for maize grain dropped from Ugx.4000/can weighing 3.5 kilo to Ugx.2500/can. The grain is still wet and in the process of drying resulting in less demand during market days. Beans were also offered at a reducing price compared to July price…

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Karamoja July Commodity price Outlook

During the month of July, commodity prices were recorded declining given the minimal harvest of a few crops within the region and supply from the first seasonal harvest from outside the region. The region also received varying volumes of rainfall with slightly above normal rainfall in southern Karamoja and a few scattered showers in the northern region. Maize in Karenga district was reported increasing from the previous months Ugx.900/kg to Ugx.1140/kg. However, sorghum price remained constant at Ugx.1000/kg. Other commodities especially delivered from Mbale had beans and cassava flour at Ugx.4000/kg and Ugx.2000/kg respectively. Some milk was available at Ugx.2000/litre.…

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July Commodity Outlook

The month of July started with reduced volumes of maize and indications of newly harvested maize getting to the regional market of Busia. Only an estimated 30-40MT were delivered daily at the start of the month.  Old stock maize was received from Lira while newly harvested maize was delivered from Hoima. Maize was offered at two prices. Old stock maize at Ugx.855/kg (Ksh.29.5) while newly harvested maize at Ugx.826/kg (Ksh.28.5). There was low maize demand at the border post mid-month because the grain market in Kenya registered some maize from within, however, new maize was registered at a higher price…

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East Africa Cross Border Trade Bulletin

Cross-Border-Trade-Report-April-2024Download

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Commodity Cross Border Watch

During the month of June a considerable volume of maize grain was delivered from Tanzania via Mutukula border post to Uganda. This supply gradually declined when indications of the first seasonal harvest was pronounced which spiked off release of grain stocks held by speculators and traders hoarding maize to cushion losses created by high production estimates and high aggregation cost at this beginning of the year. Tanzania was similarly pushing its maize grain to Kenya via Taveta, Namanga and Sirari border posts during the month of May towards June, however, as their season winded up, their grain price increased giving…

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